Il XV Piano Quinquennale cinese (2026-2030): un’analisi testuale tra sfide demografiche, industrie di frontiera e il fenomeno dell’involuzione

This paper analyses China’s XV Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) as the main strategic document set to guide the country’s economic, industrial and social development over the next five years. The analysis provides an overview of China’s key economic developments, linking them to the strategic priorities emerging from the new Plan. Rather than limiting itself to the main economic and investment-related indications contained in the document, this paper offers a textual and content-based analysis aimed at identifying its deeper political and strategic priorities. In addition, the attention is devoted to three central dimensions: the demographic challenge, the development of frontier industries, and the phenomenon of economic and social involution. Through this perspective, the paper seeks to highlight how the XV Five-Year Plan reflects not only China’s growth objectives, but also the structural tensions and transformations that will shape its development trajectory in the medium term.