Ecological transition and territorial regeneration: repopulation strategies in the “Crater Area”

The paper is based on the belief that the ecological transition processes must pay particular attention to the most vulnerable areas, especially those affected by disastrous events. The case of the “Crater Area” aims to highlight how appropriate measures can regenerate a region prone to disasters. The earthquakes of 2009 and 2016 that severely struck and damaged the regions of central Italy, has prompted the government to regenerate the area not only restoring damaged building but also by providing tax incentives and subsidized mortgages to attract resident, including foreigners. Since many retirees from abroad have joined the initiative, it will be attempted, though the use of algorithms, to outline future scenarios in order to be able to meet the need of these new population and business for long-term economic and social development.