This paper studies the effects of domestic and foreign demand impulses in euro area economies following the Great Recession of 2008-2009 and the Eurozone crisis of 2011-2012. Using a global Input-Output framework we apply a set of metrics to assess spillover effects of international trade in intermediates triggered by the dynamics of final demand. Our findings suggest that while cross-country trade spillovers have played a crucial role during the Great Recession, they have had a moderate impact when compared with the role of domestic sources of final demand during the Eurozone crisis. Hence, a strategy of coordinated fiscal austerity cannot be sustained by empirical evidence.
Domestic demand and global production in the Eurozone: A multi-regional input-output assessment of the global crisis
Wirkierman A. L.
2014-01-01
Abstract
This paper studies the effects of domestic and foreign demand impulses in euro area economies following the Great Recession of 2008-2009 and the Eurozone crisis of 2011-2012. Using a global Input-Output framework we apply a set of metrics to assess spillover effects of international trade in intermediates triggered by the dynamics of final demand. Our findings suggest that while cross-country trade spillovers have played a crucial role during the Great Recession, they have had a moderate impact when compared with the role of domestic sources of final demand during the Eurozone crisis. Hence, a strategy of coordinated fiscal austerity cannot be sustained by empirical evidence.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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